Oscar Results
Nate Silver and others have taken a statistical analysis of the film industry, but the predictions fees can be more difficult than the election While Oscar fans Monday maintained pools tested to see if picking winners, like his friends, thinking that the statistical experts did a good job forecasting results.
I found four sites that use different statistical methods to predict the winner. Zauzmer in the second year at Harvard, built a model of the critics of the ratings and the results of the other award shows. Farsite using data such as the results of the other award shows, all of indications, buzz, and before the nominations for actors and actresses. Nate Silver awards shows to use the pre-election poll average. Predictors combined forecasting markets and customizable gameplay.
At least some of the four victims of the recent award show. The first three, the index of the previous charges, while PredictWise put much more attention to the ordinary people (or the commercial markets or games) thought - and, of course, they are also strongly influenced by the earlier awards as well.
I found four sites that use different statistical methods to predict the winner. Zauzmer in the second year at Harvard, built a model of the critics of the ratings and the results of the other award shows. Farsite using data such as the results of the other award shows, all of indications, buzz, and before the nominations for actors and actresses. Nate Silver awards shows to use the pre-election poll average. Predictors combined forecasting markets and customizable gameplay.
At least some of the four victims of the recent award show. The first three, the index of the previous charges, while PredictWise put much more attention to the ordinary people (or the commercial markets or games) thought - and, of course, they are also strongly influenced by the earlier awards as well.
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